Query: Fowler replies Presidency, admits shortfall in revenue generation, gives reasons [Letter Attached]

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Executive chairman of Federal Inland Revenue Service, FIRS, Tunde Fowler, has replied the query issued him by the presidency.

Recall that Chief of Staff to the President, Abba Kyari had on August 8 queried the chairman while demanding proper briefing on reasons for obvious shortfall in generation compared to 2012 – 2014 when former President Goodluck Jonathan held sway as Nigeria’s president.

While Fowler in his response agreed that actual tax collection since the beginning of President Muhammadu Buhari’s administration is lower than the 2012-2014 period under former President Goodluck Jonathan, in general terms, he told the presidency FIRS under him has performed better regarding specific non-oil tax types, such as VAT and CIT.

He associated the general lower collection since 2015 to oil market crisis which has seen a fall in commodity price compared to the period under Mr Jonathan, and recession “which slowed down economic activities’.

On Monday, the presidency explained that the query to Fowler does not mean that he is being investigated.

In the query stamp-dated August 8, the Chief of Staff to the President, Abba Kyari, questioned Mr Fowler over “observed significant variances” between budgeted collections and actual collections for the period 2015 to 2018.”
Further, Kyari sought an explanation of the reasons for poor collections, stating that “we have observed that actual collections for the period between 2015 and 2017 were significantly worse than what was collected between 2012 and 2014.”

Meanwhile, investigations showed that since 2015 when the embattled chairman took over the federal revenue collecting agency, there has consistent drop in expected remittance to the nation’s coffers.

In 2015, FIRS set N4.7 trillion target but was only able to make N3.7 trillion in the actual collection. In 2016, 2017 and 2018, the target collections were N4.2 trillion, N4.8 trillion and N6.7 trillion but the actual collections were N3.3 trillion, N4.0 trillion and N5.3 trillion, respectively.

In his response, Fowler suggested the presidency’s view as conveyed by Mr Kyari did not reflect all the facts.

“The highlight of these collection figures was that during the period 2012 to 2014, out of the N14,527.85 trillion, oil revenue accounted for N8,321.64 trillion or 57.28%, while non-oil accounted for N6,206.22 or 42.72% and during the later period of 2016 to 2018, out of the N12,656.30 trillion oil revenue accounted for N5,145.8 trillion or 40.65% while non-oil accounted for N7,510.42 or 59.35%,” Mr Fowler explained, pointing at improvement in the non-oil collection.

He said FIRS has control of non-oil revenue collection, which “grew by N1,304.20 trillion or 21% between the period 2016 to 2018,” unlike oil revenue collection which is “subject to external forces to more external forces.”

He further explained that oil price fall and low production caused the variances between the country’s target collections and actual collections since the beginning of the present administration.

“Notwithstanding government efforts to diversify the economy; oil revenues remain an important component of all revenues accruable to the Federation,” Fowler said. “The crude oil price fell from an average of $113.72, $110.98 and 100.40 per barrel in 2012, 2013 and 2014 to $52.65, $43.80 and $54.08 in 2015, 2016 and 2017.

“There was also a reduction in crude oil production from 2.31 mbpd, 2.18 mbpd and 2.20 mbpd in 2012, 2013 and 2014 to 2.12 mbpd, 1.81 mbpd, and 1.88 mbpd in 2015, 2016 and 2017, respectively.”

He added that a troubled economy is associated with his tax collection performance.

“The Nigerian economy also went into recession in the second quarter of 2016 which slowed down the general economic activities,” he said. “Tax revenue collection (CIT and VAT) being a function of economic activities were negatively affected but actual collections of the above two taxes were still higher in 2016 to 2018 than in 2012 to 2014,” he said.

“During the years 2012, 2013 and 2014, GDP grew by 4.3%, 4.4% and 6.3%, while in 2015, 2016 and 2017, GDP grew by 2.7%, -1.6% and 1.9%, respectively. The tax revenue grew as the economy recovered in the second quarters of 2017.”

By our checks, between 2012 and 2014, CIT revenue was N2.9 trillion and N3.5 trillion between 2016 and 2018. Also, VAT between 2016 and 2018 was N2.9 trillion, higher than N2.3 that was gained between 2012 and 2014.

Fowler said the “strategies and initiatives” adopted for the collection VAT under him was responsible for the increase over the 2012 to 2014 period.

“In 2012, the VAT collected was N802 billion compared to N1.1 trillion in 2018,” he said. “This increase is attributable to various initiatives such as ICT innovations, continuous taxpayer education, taxpayer enlightenment, etc embarked upon by the Service.”

Fowler was appointed FIRS boss in 2015, same year President Buhari assumed office. He succeeded Samuel Odugbesan appointed by former President Goodluck Jonathan.

His four-year tenure expires on Saturday, August 18. It is not clear if President Buhari will re-appoint him considering the flags raised by Kyari at the twilight of his tenure.