Fresh Bloomberg poll predicts victory for Peter Obi; Tinubu, Atiku trail behind

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A new poll conducted by Premise Data Corp for Bloomberg News, Peter Obi of the Labour Party (LP) is the leading candidate ahead of the February 25 presidential election.

Remember that on September 28, 2022, the US news organization released a first poll that showed Obi ahead of his rivals in the race for the 2023 presidential election.

The poll surveyed 3,973 Nigerians between September 5 and September 20, and respondents were chosen from quotas based on age, gender, and location across the country’s six geopolitical zones.

However, according to a new poll conducted between January 26 and February 4, Obi was the preferred candidate ahead of the All Progressives Congress (APC) candidate, Bola Tinubu, and the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) flagbearer, Atiku Abubakar.

According to the poll results released on Friday, Obi received 66% of the vote, Tinubu received 18%, and Atiku received 10% of the votes cast.

In a statement on Friday, Bloomberg News said: “San Francisco-based Premise polled 2,384 Nigerians from Jan. 26 to Feb. 4 via a smartphone app. Submissions were selected from quotas developed by age, gender, and location across the country’s six geopolitical zones, the company said. Results were then weighted against the original quotas to ensure national representation.”

This poll comes just days after Stears, a pan-African data company, named the LP presidential candidate the favourite to win the February 25 presidential election.

Obi leads the poll with 27% of all votes, followed by Tinubu with 15% and Atiku with 12%. It also demonstrated that Obi is the most widely accepted candidate and that Nigerians vote religiously.

According to the poll’s data, Obi is the candidate who receives at least 25% of the vote in most geopolitical zones (five of six) among voters who declared their candidate preference.

According to the report, the LP candidate leads Tinubu (four out of five votes), while Atiku receives only 25% of the vote in two geopolitical zones.

The LP candidate has won the majority of polls, but the opposition parties have rejected the results.